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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+5.29vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+4.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+2.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.59+3.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+2.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-1.23vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.93+2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.27-3.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-3.61vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.32+0.15vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy2.03-3.08vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.67-2.82vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-4.12vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.35-3.91vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.15Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.92Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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12.18McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.88Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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13.09University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 20.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Michael Booker | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Edward Moan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 22.6% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Yann Cudennec | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 21.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.