Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Annecy Kagan 14.6% 14.6% 14.7% 15.3% 12.7% 10.7% 8.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Gavin Monaghan 15.2% 15.3% 16.0% 13.9% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 5.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Charlotte Versavel 14.3% 14.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.8% 12.2% 8.1% 6.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Ella Hubbard 25.4% 22.4% 18.4% 13.1% 9.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Asofsky 8.5% 8.4% 11.0% 10.9% 11.3% 13.2% 12.5% 11.2% 8.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Michael Salvatore 7.5% 9.6% 8.9% 11.7% 12.9% 13.2% 13.2% 10.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.6%
Benjamin Wilkinson 4.9% 5.5% 6.3% 6.5% 9.2% 10.8% 13.2% 15.8% 14.8% 10.3% 2.5%
Jack Schwab 3.4% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 6.6% 7.4% 11.0% 15.1% 20.0% 16.3% 7.1%
Robert Houde 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 8.3% 11.2% 25.7% 38.6%
Jake Lacoche 3.7% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 7.1% 9.8% 12.7% 13.9% 18.5% 13.7% 6.0%
Owen Ferguson 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 4.3% 5.9% 11.0% 24.6% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.