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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+6.13vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+4.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.59+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+8.95vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.67+6.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72+1.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-2.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-2.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-4.47vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.32+2.16vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-5.58vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.03-2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-3.70vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-6.75vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-5.02vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.91McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.16Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.42Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.97Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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9.25Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.98Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| William Dykes | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 18.9% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 24.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| John Silvestri | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.