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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Harvard University1.67-0.02vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.49+1.71vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.83-1.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.06-2.35vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.49-1.24vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-1.32-1.19vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.93-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
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4.71Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.9McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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2.65Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
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4.76University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.18Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Waldo | 44.4% | 28.4% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Fox | 5.1% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 23.7% | 12.4% |
| Justin Cruanes | 17.4% | 25.6% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hylton | 23.5% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Trumper | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 14.6% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 47.2% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.