Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ella Hubbard 24.9% 22.4% 18.6% 13.1% 10.0% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Versavel 14.1% 14.8% 14.0% 14.2% 13.5% 10.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Gavin Monaghan 15.8% 15.2% 14.3% 14.1% 12.7% 11.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Benjamin Wilkinson 5.0% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 11.9% 13.0% 15.2% 15.2% 9.8% 2.9%
Jack Schwab 3.5% 3.2% 5.6% 5.0% 7.4% 7.4% 10.5% 13.4% 18.2% 17.4% 8.3%
Michael Salvatore 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 12.4% 12.3% 12.9% 12.8% 11.1% 7.5% 3.0% 0.6%
Annecy Kagan 12.8% 13.8% 15.5% 13.5% 13.1% 12.2% 9.2% 5.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Spencer Asofsky 8.2% 9.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.5% 13.1% 13.6% 12.7% 9.2% 4.5% 0.9%
Robert Houde 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 4.3% 8.0% 11.7% 27.3% 35.9%
Jake Lacoche 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 11.2% 15.5% 18.0% 13.9% 5.9%
Owen Ferguson 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.9% 4.1% 6.1% 11.0% 21.6% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.