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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+11.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+4.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.59+4.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+3.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+0.55vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+2.30vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy2.03+2.59vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.67+3.27vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44-4.23vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-4.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+0.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.52-7.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.27-7.50vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-3.12vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.93-4.80vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.75University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.28Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.3Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.59Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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12.27McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.88Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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13.2Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 20.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 20.9% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Edward Moan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.