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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+4.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.92vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+2.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+1.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+1.42vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+2.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-2.46vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.32+4.29vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71+1.82vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35+2.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.59-3.24vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.03-2.14vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-7.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.64vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.25Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.29Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.82Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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13.06University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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10.86Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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12.06McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 22.9% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.