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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.72+4.76vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+5.61vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.18+1.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+2.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.73+0.85vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+1.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-1.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.26-3.63vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.03-4.00vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.40-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.47+0.09vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.70-6.03vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.56-3.81vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.13-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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4.55Connecticut College3.180.2%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.85Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.28Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.56Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.44Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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14.09University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.97McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.19Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jones | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Kusiel | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Serena Cipullo | 17.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Allen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Smith | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Rohman | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 8.6% |
| David Mazotas | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 34.3% | 27.1% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 3.8% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 20.8% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.