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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.72+4.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+5.63vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43+6.83vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.73+1.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.26+1.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-0.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.03-0.08vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.70-0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.37vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.18-6.43vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-4.79vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.56-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.47-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.13-1.04vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.40-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.96McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.57Connecticut College3.180.2%1st Place
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7.21Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.13Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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14.09University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.54Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jones | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Kusiel | 4.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Allen | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Smith | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Rohman | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Serena Cipullo | 17.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 16.3% | 4.8% |
| David Mazotas | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 35.1% | 26.4% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 22.2% | 59.6% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.