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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+6.62vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.40+10.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.18+0.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+0.94vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+1.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.73-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.72-2.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43+0.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.03-1.93vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.70-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.26-4.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-7.50vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.47+0.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.56-3.80vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.13-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.35Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.64Connecticut College3.180.2%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.26Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.91Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.97McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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5.5Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.04University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.2Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Kusiel | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 6.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Serena Cipullo | 15.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Jones | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Allen | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Abigail Rohman | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Smith | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mazotas | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 34.2% | 25.9% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 24.6% | 16.0% | 6.1% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 22.6% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.