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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.25+3.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+3.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.59+1.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.39+0.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.07-2.94vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.59-0.95vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.03-0.78vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.4%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.5%1st Place
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4.08Georgetown University1.5915.0%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy1.3911.8%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.867.5%1st Place
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3.06Georgetown University2.0726.2%1st Place
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6.05Old Dominion University0.594.7%1st Place
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7.22George Washington University0.032.8%1st Place
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4.71Hampton University0.5812.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Hugh Carty | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
Mats Braaten | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
Benjamin Smith | 15.0% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
Teddy Martin | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
Joseph Marynowski | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
Owen Kohut | 26.2% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Olivia Gilmore | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
Eva Wieting | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 45.2% |
Tyler Brown | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.