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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.68+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas-0.03+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+0.14vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.68-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.23-2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.04-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.55-1.02vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-1.79vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.43-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Northwestern University0.6812.6%1st Place
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5.96University of Saint Thomas-0.035.7%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin1.3024.5%1st Place
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5.56Purdue University-0.497.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Michigan0.6811.8%1st Place
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3.15University of Notre Dame1.2324.3%1st Place
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5.81University of Chicago0.046.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Minnesota-0.553.5%1st Place
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7.21Washington University-0.803.0%1st Place
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8.49Marquette University-1.431.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Nicholas Chesemore | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
Rakesh Dhiman | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
Quinn Kaiser | 24.5% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Nok In Chan | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
Jack Homa | 11.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
Payden Pittman | 24.3% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Carlos Sole | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
Isaac Sparber | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 15.8% |
Jacob Hsia | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 17.9% |
John Riordan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.