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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Bowdoin College-0.49+2.67vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67-1.05vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.83-1.09vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.93+0.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.06-3.30vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.49-2.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-1.32-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
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1.95Harvard University1.670.5%1st Place
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2.91McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.37Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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2.7Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
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4.72University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.68Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Fox | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 14.6% |
| Nick Waldo | 45.8% | 28.2% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Justin Cruanes | 17.7% | 23.7% | 25.3% | 21.2% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 2.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 27.5% | 28.3% |
| Sarah Hylton | 22.4% | 27.3% | 24.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| William Trumper | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 24.1% | 22.5% | 13.5% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 23.5% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.