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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+4.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.26+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.72+2.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.68vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.18-0.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43+3.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.03+1.11vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29-0.89vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.70-0.04vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.56+2.13vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.73-5.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-4.23vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.40-0.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-8.60vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.47-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.13-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.58Connecticut College3.180.2%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.96McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.13Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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5.81Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.45Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.13University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Smith | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Jones | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Serena Cipullo | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Allen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Abigail Rohman | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 20.2% | 24.7% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Kusiel | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 24.8% | 19.8% | 5.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mazotas | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 37.1% | 28.2% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 19.2% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.