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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.48vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.73+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.72+2.85vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+3.33vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.18-0.45vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84-0.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12-0.35vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.70-0.02vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.40+2.51vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.03-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.47+2.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.26-6.83vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.56-3.79vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.13-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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7.33Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.55Connecticut College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.59Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.98McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.51Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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14.07University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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12.21Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Jones | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Serena Cipullo | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Kusiel | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 6.9% |
| Abigail Rohman | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Mazotas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 33.9% | 27.9% |
| Mariah Allen | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Smith | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 4.7% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.