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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+4.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.73+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.26+4.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.18+0.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.43+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.72-2.22vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-1.32vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-2.73vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.70-2.00vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.56+0.07vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.03-5.01vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.40-2.58vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.47-1.87vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.13-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island2.260.1%1st Place
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4.61Connecticut College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont2.720.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.27Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.0McGill University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.07Maine Maritime Academy0.560.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.42Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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14.13University of New Hampshire-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Smith | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Serena Cipullo | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Allen | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Jones | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Kusiel | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Chauvin | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Katelynd Sperry | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 4.8% |
| Abigail Rohman | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 17.9% | 7.1% |
| David Mazotas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 16.4% | 34.9% | 28.2% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 21.3% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.