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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+6.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.92vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.28+4.65vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01+0.16vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+3.49vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-0.28vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.29-3.78vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.91vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.52-3.04vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21-2.77vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.55-1.86vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.72-3.58vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.29-0.17vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.24-0.10vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.81-6.46vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.23Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.14Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.42William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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15.9Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.54Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 23.6% | 22.8% | 15.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 15.2% | 30.8% | 31.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 24.1% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.