← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.52+7.02vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.29+3.39vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.35vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.75vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.91+1.43vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia3.01+0.21vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University2.28+0.60vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University2.21-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.55+1.44vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.77-0.37vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.51-3.86vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.40vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary1.72-3.58vs Predicted
-
15Washington College1.81-4.66vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-0.24-0.06vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia0.29-2.10vs Predicted
-
18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.02Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.39Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
4.75U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
6.43Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.6Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.9Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
11.44Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
-
10.63George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.14George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
-
11.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
-
10.42William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.34Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
15.94Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
14.9University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
-
16.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Smith | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 15.7% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| George Uehling | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 30.4% | 30.9% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 24.9% | 15.0% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 24.2% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.