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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+6.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.26vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+3.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+1.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01+0.11vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+3.50vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81+2.35vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.52-1.25vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.72+0.91vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-3.04vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.28-3.07vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.29+0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70+1.61vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.55-4.70vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.24-1.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.35Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.91William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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7.96George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.93Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.79Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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16.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.3Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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15.97Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Smith | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Austin Powers | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 26.4% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 23.1% | 51.5% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| George Uehling | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 31.6% | 32.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.