← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Harvard University1.67-0.03vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-0.49+1.69vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College-0.49+0.72vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.83-2.04vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.06-3.32vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-0.93-1.70vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University-1.32-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.97Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
-
4.69University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
-
4.72Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.96McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
-
2.68Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
-
5.3Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
-
5.68Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Waldo | 43.9% | 29.6% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Trumper | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 12.5% |
| Zachary Fox | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| Justin Cruanes | 19.0% | 21.8% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hylton | 21.5% | 28.7% | 24.3% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.