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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+5.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.29vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+6.20vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.28+4.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+6.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.77+4.56vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.29-1.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.28vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51-1.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.52-1.94vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24+4.85vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-4.23vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.91-6.62vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.72-3.61vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-4.62vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.29-1.12vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-0.36vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.55-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.2Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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15.85Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.39William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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10.38Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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16.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.15Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Gardner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| AJ Reiter | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 15.9% | 30.8% | 29.9% |
| Thomas Galster | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 23.0% | 25.5% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 53.4% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.