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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.81+9.54vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+5.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.91+2.42vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.17vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.29-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-0.90vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28+0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51-1.20vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.72+0.90vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.77-0.42vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.55-0.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.52-6.38vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.29-0.18vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.24-0.07vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-7.89vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.42Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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8.59Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.9William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.55Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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14.82University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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15.93Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.11Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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16.48University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Jay Spector | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| James Gardner | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Campbell | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 23.7% | 22.6% | 14.4% |
| George Uehling | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 15.8% | 31.2% | 30.5% |
| Austin Powers | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 24.8% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.