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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+4.27vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+3.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.73vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-0.28vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.77+1.47vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.72+0.91vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.28-2.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.52-3.85vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-4.21vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.24+1.76vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.55-3.79vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.29-1.12vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.81-6.47vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.91William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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8.79Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.79Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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15.76Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.21Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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10.53Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Smith | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 16.5% | 28.7% | 29.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 15.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 10.0% | 23.1% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.