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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+6.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.32vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29+2.42vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.91+2.46vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+5.34vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.72+4.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+3.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.85vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.55+1.55vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-2.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.52-3.76vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.28-4.35vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.21-5.27vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.24+1.16vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.29-0.97vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.01-10.66vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.34Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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10.82William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.55Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.73Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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16.16Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Virginia0.290.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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15.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Adam Siegel | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Jay Spector | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Smith | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 46.6% |
| Dylan Campbell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 22.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.