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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+3.45vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+7.16vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.22vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.60+7.47vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+0.65vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.03-2.43vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01-0.07vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.37+1.33vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.63-0.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.73-5.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.60-2.73vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-7.44vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.19-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.15+0.80vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.42-3.01vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.62-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.45Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.16Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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13.47Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.93Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.33William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.86Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.56George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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16.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.150.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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15.88Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 20.8% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| David Udwin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 58.9% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 7.5% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 34.6% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.