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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Dartmouth College1.06+0.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67-1.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.49+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.25vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.93-1.69vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.83-5.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-1.32-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Dartmouth College1.060.3%1st Place
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1.97Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
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4.74Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.75University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.31Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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2.94McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hylton | 26.2% | 24.2% | 25.4% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nick Waldo | 42.2% | 32.0% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Fox | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
| William Trumper | 3.7% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 23.5% | 23.5% | 13.6% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 26.5% | 26.6% |
| Justin Cruanes | 18.4% | 21.9% | 26.4% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.