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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.11+4.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.87vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.03+1.50vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.63+5.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.13vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.01+2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39-0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.40vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.73-3.23vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+2.52vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-4.99vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.37-2.00vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.42-1.09vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-5.89vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.62-0.88vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.15-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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5.5Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.02Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.77Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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13.52Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.01George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.0William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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11.47SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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10.11Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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16.12Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.68University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gerli | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 18.5% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Hall | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 33.8% | 32.6% |
| David Udwin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 24.1% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.