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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.93vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.73+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39+2.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60+4.46vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.03-1.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.63+2.21vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.11-3.69vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.42+4.05vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-4.16vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.01-2.74vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60+0.30vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.54vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.37-3.87vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-5.84vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.62-0.91vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.15-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.21George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.31Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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6.84George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.26Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.3Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.46SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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11.13William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.16Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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16.09Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 5.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jill Fattibene | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Gerli | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 7.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Bill Parker | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 32.9% | 32.7% |
| David Udwin | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 23.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.