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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.74vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+7.22vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.03+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.42+7.85vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.60+6.31vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.37+2.85vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01-0.38vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.11-4.69vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-1.23vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.63-1.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.60-3.06vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.73-7.92vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-8.61vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.56-2.51vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.62-0.74vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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13.85University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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13.31Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.85William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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8.62Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.31Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.77Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.08Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.49Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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16.26Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 21.8% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jill Fattibene | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 10.8% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
| Bill Parker | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gerli | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Nora | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 18.1% | 51.1% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.