← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University1.15+0.79vs Predicted
-
2Washington University-0.68+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-0.51+0.68vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.09-1.02vs Predicted
-
5Miami University-1.34-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-0.60-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79Ohio State University1.1550.9%1st Place
-
3.93Washington University-0.687.8%1st Place
-
3.68Purdue University-0.5110.7%1st Place
-
2.98Ohio State University0.0917.0%1st Place
-
4.82Miami University-1.344.3%1st Place
-
3.8Michigan State University-0.609.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 50.9% | 28.6% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moore | 7.8% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 17.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 10.7% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 14.0% |
| Emily Williams | 17.0% | 24.9% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 47.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.