← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.73vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.69vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+7.24vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.03+1.30vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.11+0.09vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.67+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.73-0.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia2.39-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71+0.69vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.01-1.13vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.60+2.39vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.63-1.79vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.60-3.06vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary1.37-3.36vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia0.42-1.10vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.56-2.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.20vs Predicted
-
18Virginia Tech-0.62-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
-
10.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
5.3Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.09Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
6.44George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.25Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.23University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
-
9.69Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.87Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
13.39Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.21George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.94U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.64William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.9University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.5Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
-
14.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
16.07Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 17.9% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jill Fattibene | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Nora | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Bill Parker | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 11.3% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 20.9% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.