← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University1.15+0.82vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.09+0.96vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-0.51+0.70vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-1.34+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-0.60-1.11vs Predicted
-
6Washington University-0.68-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.82Ohio State University1.1550.2%1st Place
-
2.96Ohio State University0.0918.3%1st Place
-
3.7Purdue University-0.5110.4%1st Place
-
4.7Miami University-1.344.9%1st Place
-
3.89Michigan State University-0.608.0%1st Place
-
3.93Washington University-0.688.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nadia Reynolds | 50.2% | 27.5% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Emily Williams | 18.3% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
Joseph Mowrey | 10.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 14.2% |
Alexandra Knauer | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 43.9% |
Brynna Smith | 8.0% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 16.9% |
Meredith Moore | 8.2% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.