← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.78vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.72vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.73+3.41vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62+5.90vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.01+3.62vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.03-0.64vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.60+3.06vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.11-2.94vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia2.39-1.67vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.71-0.05vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.63-0.91vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.42+2.05vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary1.37-2.26vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.67-7.73vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.56-1.58vs Predicted
-
16Hampton University0.60-2.56vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.25vs Predicted
-
18Virginia Tech-0.62-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
-
6.41Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.62Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.36Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
-
10.06U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.06Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
-
9.95Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.09George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
-
14.05University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.74William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.27George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
13.42Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.44Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
14.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
16.06Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jill Fattibene | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Gerli | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 12.5% |
| Bill Parker | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 19.8% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.