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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Florida3.41+1.21vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+1.84vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.66+3.84vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.68-0.24vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12+3.72vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.88+7.89vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.77+2.50vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.82+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.28-4.96vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.93-1.79vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.76-2.21vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.38-5.17vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.07-5.26vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.22-3.45vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.82-3.07vs Predicted
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19Florida State University-0.88-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.84Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.76University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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9.72Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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14.89Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.5The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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10.68Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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9.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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10.21University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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10.79Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.83North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.74Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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13.55Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.89Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 23.5% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 24.2% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| William Montgomery | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.