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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Florida3.41+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.28+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.68+0.92vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66+2.76vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.70-1.09vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.76+3.75vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38+0.57vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.93+1.34vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.85vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.07-1.18vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.82-1.48vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.77-2.23vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-0.88+1.02vs Predicted
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16Auburn University1.12-6.45vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.22-3.47vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.82-3.08vs Predicted
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19Florida State University-0.88-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Florida3.410.3%1st Place
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5.99University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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7.76Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.91Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.75Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.57North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.34University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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9.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.82Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.52Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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10.77The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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15.02Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.55Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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13.53Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.02Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 23.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 25.2% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| William Montgomery | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 24.4% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 25.2% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 24.4% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.