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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+0.88vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.36+1.11vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.47+0.19vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.08-0.04vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.74-1.48vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.38-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Washington University0.6746.6%1st Place
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3.11Ohio State University-0.3617.0%1st Place
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3.19Purdue University-0.4714.2%1st Place
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3.96Miami University-1.088.0%1st Place
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3.52Michigan State University-0.7412.6%1st Place
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5.34Ohio State University-2.381.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Marino | 46.6% | 29.3% | 16.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Troyer | 17.0% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 4.3% |
| James Miller | 14.2% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 23.4% | 14.8% | 4.8% |
| Griffin Boothby | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 29.4% | 15.1% |
| Teddy Prokop | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 22.8% | 8.2% |
| Asha Edmondson | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.