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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.06+1.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67-1.07vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.83-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-1.32-0.19vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.93-2.67vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.49-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
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1.93Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
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2.95McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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4.8University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.33Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.54Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hylton | 24.9% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 44.8% | 30.5% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 17.7% | 20.8% | 28.6% | 19.8% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| William Trumper | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 14.1% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 45.3% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 24.4% | 28.9% |
| Zachary Fox | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 24.7% | 21.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.