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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+0.88vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.74+1.60vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.01+0.91vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.36-0.91vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.47-1.82vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.38-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Washington University0.6747.8%1st Place
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3.6Michigan State University-0.7410.3%1st Place
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3.91Miami University-1.018.6%1st Place
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3.09Ohio State University-0.3615.4%1st Place
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3.18Purdue University-0.4715.5%1st Place
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5.33Ohio State University-2.382.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Marino | 47.8% | 28.2% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Prokop | 10.3% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 23.6% | 8.8% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 29.2% | 13.8% |
| Noah Troyer | 15.4% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 4.0% |
| James Miller | 15.5% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 4.2% |
| Asha Edmondson | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.