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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.92vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+0.48vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.21+1.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.23vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57-0.97vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Naval Academy2.2521.9%1st Place
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2.48Georgetown University2.7530.4%1st Place
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4.53Christopher Newport University1.216.4%1st Place
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.8%1st Place
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4.03Old Dominion University1.5710.6%1st Place
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4.27Washington College1.666.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 21.9% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 30.4% | 25.6% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Brian Fox | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 38.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 23.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 25.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.