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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+1.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.01vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.57+1.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.21+0.48vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.66-0.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Georgetown University2.7531.2%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.2520.5%1st Place
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4.12Old Dominion University1.578.9%1st Place
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4.48Christopher Newport University1.216.4%1st Place
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4.19Washington College1.668.3%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 31.2% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 20.5% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 23.3% | 25.6% |
| Brian Fox | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 24.3% | 35.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 26.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.6% | 23.8% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.