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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida3.41+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.28+3.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.33+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.68+0.91vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70-0.28vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+2.00vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.76+3.73vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38+0.58vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.07+0.92vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.93+0.17vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.77-0.22vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.82-1.50vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-3.73vs Predicted
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14Auburn University1.12-4.31vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.22-2.56vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-0.88-1.98vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.82-3.11vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.88-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Florida3.410.3%1st Place
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5.85University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.0Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.73Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.58North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.92Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.17University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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10.78The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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10.5Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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9.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.69Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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13.44Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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15.02Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.02Florida State University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Heausler | 25.4% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sands | 21.0% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 11.1% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| William Montgomery | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 23.3% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 23.6% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 23.3% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.