← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.94vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.76vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.21+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.57+0.06vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.75-2.51vs Predicted
-
6Washington College1.66-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.2521.2%1st Place
-
2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.8%1st Place
-
4.48Christopher Newport University1.218.0%1st Place
-
4.06Old Dominion University1.579.5%1st Place
-
2.49Georgetown University2.7529.0%1st Place
-
4.27Washington College1.668.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 21.2% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 24.0% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Brian Fox | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 37.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 29.0% | 26.1% | 22.9% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.