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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+0.08vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.66-0.69vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.21-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5722.8%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Naval Academy2.2521.4%1st Place
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2.45Georgetown University2.7532.0%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University1.579.1%1st Place
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4.31Washington College1.668.3%1st Place
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4.44Christopher Newport University1.216.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 22.8% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.4% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.0% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 23.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 23.7% | 30.3% |
| Brian Fox | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.