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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+1.47vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.57+2.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.06vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.21-0.54vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Georgetown University2.7531.6%1st Place
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4.09Old Dominion University1.579.3%1st Place
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.9%1st Place
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2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.2520.8%1st Place
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4.46Christopher Newport University1.216.9%1st Place
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4.26Washington College1.667.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 31.6% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.9% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 20.8% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 35.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.