← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2McGill University0.83+0.96vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.06-0.38vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.67-2.07vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.21vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University-1.32-0.19vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-0.93-1.67vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College-0.49-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
-
2.62Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
-
1.93Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
-
4.79University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
-
5.81Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.33Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
-
4.55Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Cruanes | 19.1% | 22.4% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hylton | 23.4% | 25.7% | 27.6% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nick Waldo | 43.7% | 31.0% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Trumper | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 24.7% | 13.9% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 45.4% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 28.8% |
| Zachary Fox | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 20.4% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.