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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.18+1.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.19+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96+5.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.80+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.62-0.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.37-3.46vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Roger Williams University1.1842.4%1st Place
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4.47Northeastern University-0.1910.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.6%1st Place
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4.33University of Rhode Island-0.2011.5%1st Place
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5.36University of Connecticut-0.805.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont-0.626.2%1st Place
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3.54Brown University0.3715.6%1st Place
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5.91University of New Hampshire-1.114.1%1st Place
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5.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.734.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Crager | 42.4% | 24.3% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Grant Smith | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
Annette Limoges | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 75.8% |
Emaline Ouellette | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
Ryan Treat | 5.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 4.8% |
Ryan Petrush | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 15.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Joseph Cataldo | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 7.0% |
Kevin McNeill | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.