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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+0.49vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.21+1.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.05vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57-0.88vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.3%1st Place
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2.49Georgetown University2.7529.4%1st Place
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4.46Christopher Newport University1.217.5%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.2520.9%1st Place
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4.12Old Dominion University1.579.0%1st Place
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4.2Washington College1.668.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 24.3% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 29.4% | 26.6% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Brian Fox | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 35.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 20.9% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 25.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.