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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.95vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.57+2.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75-0.51vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.24vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.21-0.53vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.2520.5%1st Place
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4.11Old Dominion University1.578.6%1st Place
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2.49Georgetown University2.7531.6%1st Place
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.9%1st Place
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4.47Christopher Newport University1.216.0%1st Place
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4.22Washington College1.668.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 20.5% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 5.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 24.0% | 24.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 31.6% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.9% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Brian Fox | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 35.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.