← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College1.66+3.30vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.67vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.41-0.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.17vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.57-0.99vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.21-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Washington College1.667.6%1st Place
-
2.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5726.1%1st Place
-
2.75Georgetown University2.4125.4%1st Place
-
2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.2523.4%1st Place
-
4.01Old Dominion University1.5710.2%1st Place
-
4.45Christopher Newport University1.217.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 24.5% | 29.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 26.1% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Scott Mais | 25.4% | 22.7% | 21.2% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 23.4% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Brian Fox | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.