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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+0.74vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+0.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.31vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.21-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91U. S. Naval Academy2.2523.3%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University2.4124.3%1st Place
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4.17Washington College1.669.8%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.578.8%1st Place
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2.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5726.8%1st Place
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4.44Christopher Newport University1.216.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 23.3% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Scott Mais | 24.3% | 24.9% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 28.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 23.2% | 22.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 26.8% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.