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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+3.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.37vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.28vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.21-0.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Old Dominion University1.579.8%1st Place
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2.9U. S. Naval Academy2.2521.0%1st Place
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2.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5728.2%1st Place
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4.28Washington College1.667.8%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University1.216.7%1st Place
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2.7Georgetown University2.4126.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.0% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 28.2% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Brian Fox | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 36.2% |
| Scott Mais | 26.6% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.