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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.70vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.57+1.08vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.18vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41-2.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.21-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9U. S. Naval Academy2.2522.6%1st Place
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2.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5727.3%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University1.579.2%1st Place
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4.18Washington College1.669.2%1st Place
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2.7Georgetown University2.4124.5%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University1.217.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 22.6% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 5.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.3% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 24.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 29.5% |
| Scott Mais | 24.5% | 24.9% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Brian Fox | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.