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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+2.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.06+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.84+0.42vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.92+4.24vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.22+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.11+4.47vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.51-3.99vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.18+1.90vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University0.23-0.58vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.63-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-3.94vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.07-2.63vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.10-3.42vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.45-3.54vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-0.89-3.21vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.27-3.32vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.89-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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3.02College of Charleston3.060.3%1st Place
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3.42University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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8.24Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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7.16Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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11.47University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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11.9The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.42Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.28Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.37Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.58Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.79Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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14.68North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.79Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 18.1% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 25.4% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 19.0% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.