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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.69vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.57+2.15vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.16vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41-2.29vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.21-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5726.9%1st Place
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4.15Old Dominion University1.578.1%1st Place
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4.2Washington College1.669.2%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.2522.9%1st Place
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2.71Georgetown University2.4125.1%1st Place
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4.43Christopher Newport University1.217.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 26.9% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 23.3% | 28.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 22.9% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Scott Mais | 25.1% | 24.1% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Brian Fox | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 23.2% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.