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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.06+1.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.84+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.22+3.30vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27+2.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.92+2.34vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51-2.93vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.11+2.15vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.23+0.41vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.10vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.63-2.86vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-0.89+0.54vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-0.89-0.46vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.10-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.45-3.53vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.07-5.84vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-0.93-4.33vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-1.27-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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3.6Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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7.3University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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7.11Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.34Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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4.07University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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11.15University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.41Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.14Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.54Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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13.54Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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11.32Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.16Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.67The Citadel-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.46North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Baldridge | 24.8% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 17.5% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 19.8% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 14.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Bidwell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.