Race 1A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 16.7% 17.8% 17.5% 18.0% 13.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 24.9% 21.4% 20.5% 14.7% 10.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 8.3% 8.4% 9.8% 12.8% 16.3% 17.0% 13.5% 8.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Cole Tillson 25.4% 23.9% 19.6% 14.1% 9.2% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.5% 14.5% 16.5% 17.3% 16.2% 12.3% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kertatos 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 10.4% 14.2% 16.7% 14.8% 12.2% 7.2% 3.5%
Joe Cooner 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 5.5% 8.0% 13.2% 15.0% 16.6% 16.2% 15.2%
Clare Leeper 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 3.0% 4.9% 7.9% 12.0% 13.6% 17.0% 18.5% 17.5%
Abigail Brooks 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 7.5% 9.4% 13.8% 14.8% 19.2% 23.4%
Ethan Deutsch 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.8% 6.7% 9.1% 13.8% 17.8% 18.8% 22.8%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.2% 5.1% 7.8% 11.4% 14.9% 15.8% 18.3% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.