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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+1.96vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+1.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67-0.11vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.01+3.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.07vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.28+0.53vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-3.13vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.23+0.31vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.21-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.26-1.46vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.13-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Webb Institute1.4324.7%1st Place
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3.61Princeton University1.8715.2%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.6726.4%1st Place
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7.95Villanova University-1.011.8%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.7%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University-0.283.5%1st Place
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3.87George Washington University1.0714.8%1st Place
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8.31Monmouth University-1.231.6%1st Place
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8.23Unknown School-1.211.2%1st Place
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8.54University of Delaware-1.261.6%1st Place
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8.18Drexel University-1.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 24.7% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 26.4% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Brooks | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 22.7% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 22.2% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.