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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.09+0.28vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.88-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.23-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36University of Washington2.810.7%1st Place
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3.28University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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1.97Western Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Puget Sound-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 68.7% | 27.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Paulling | 4.0% | 9.1% | 41.4% | 45.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 24.3% | 56.7% | 16.5% | 2.5% |
| Alison Ross | 3.0% | 7.2% | 38.2% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.