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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.18+1.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.20+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.08+1.74vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.19-0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.62-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Roger Williams University1.1841.2%1st Place
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3.53Brown University0.3716.7%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island-0.2011.5%1st Place
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.084.1%1st Place
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4.33Northeastern University-0.1910.2%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.735.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont-0.627.1%1st Place
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5.78University of New Hampshire-1.114.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 41.2% | 27.5% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Brendan Ballon | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 26.2% |
| Grant Smith | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.7% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.